The Polls Were Right, We Were Wrong, and That's the Good News: We were dead wrong about the polls.
Not only did the Real Clear Politics poll of polls end up being almost perfectly precise, but the most accurate pollster of the 2012 election cycle ended up being the Daily Kos' Public Policy Polling (PPP). My guys, Gallup and Rasmussen, didn't even make the top twenty.
There was absolutely no bad faith that went into our pushing back against these polls. We had data, history, and common sense on our side. As far as the data; polls from Pew, Gallup, and Rasmussen told us that the 2012 electorate would have a Republican advantage of anywhere from three to six percent -- or R+3 or R+6. These were polls taken with monstrous samples from three pollsters who have accurately predicted past electorates.
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